Naimisha Forest

Trade Wars and the "Trump Shock"

In which I praise the scientific integrity of Paul Krugman

Paul Krugman has another very good recent New York Times post on the likely outcomes of a trade war:  Thinking About a Trade War (Very Wonkish).   Let me qualify. The first five paragraphs are one more tiresome expression of Krugman's political animus against the Trump administration, plus speculation about U.S. and foreign politics . . .

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July 02, 2018

Trade war won't cause recession says Paul Krugman

Yahoo Finance's Dion Rabouin wonders Why Trump's trade war hasn't tanked the market or the economy yet:

Business sentiment has been shaken by U.S. President Donald Trump’s escalating trade war with China, the European Union and other countries, financial analysts say. But some are wondering why the impact hasn’t shown up in . . .

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June 26, 2018

Searching for Tom Wolfe

Silvrback blog imageThinking about the writer Tom Wolfe, who died on May 14, I searched for his name across all my e-books. Up popped some thirty-six, leaving aside Wolfe's own novels and essays, containing a total of 151 references.  An interesting fact of probably no relevance, the references were apparently distributed according to some power law. (See . . .

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May 17, 2018

"The man has stopped being afraid"

Iranian sports fans chant anti-regime slogans at a football game on April 27, at the Aryamehr (Azadi) stadium in Tehran: "Reza Shah, Rest in Peace!"

The journalist Ryszard Kapuscinski thought he had identified the precise psychological moment when the 1979 Iranian revolution against Mohammad Reza Shah began:

"The policeman shouts . . .

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May 14, 2018

Scenes from two weddings

England and India

Silvrback blog imageThe first wedding was in England, at an 18th-century country house, set in an estate of some hundreds of acres of parkland and farms. No, I hadn’t been invited there by that dignified nobleman the Duke of Omnium.  Many such places now run from a spreadsheet, restored and rented out by the day for middle-class weddings, anniversary . . .

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April 27, 2018

American Virtù: Discourses by Michael Anton

Students of ‘intellectual Trumpism’ will be interested in parts of this recent interview with Michael Anton upon his leaving the National Security Council to take up a fellowship at Hillsdale College.  Under the pen name Publius Decius Mus, Anton was the author of probably the single most consequential political article . . .

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April 16, 2018

Spring!

Yes, spring is here, or dashed close by, what? The sky's a light blue, with cotton-wool clouds, and there's a bit of a breeze blowing from the west. Uplifting! If I had yellow Silvrback blog imageshoes and a green homburg I'd go do pastoral dances in Hyde Park with dear old Bertie Wooster:

"Sir?" said Jeeves. He had been clearing away the breakfast things, . . .

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March 26, 2018

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